MTR Investors Group
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Members | Login/Register

MTR Forums » MTR Forums » Forum Information » Signal Forecasting

Signal Forecasting Options
Previous Topic · Next Topic
donbrown10
Posted: Friday, August 13, 2010 1:21:39 AM

Rank: Member
Groups: Member

Joined: 8/17/2009
Posts: 13
Points: 39
Location: USA

The forecast yesterday (Wednesday) was : If the MTR-TM closes at or below 2276.68 (-1.77%) on the next trading day a Market Down signal will be fired.

Today: As of the market close on Thursday, 8/12/2010 the MTR-TM closed at 2305.94 and a down signal was fired. 

Are you still fine tuning the forecasting model?

 
Back to top
 
Sponsor
Posted: Friday, August 13, 2010 1:21:39 AM
Back to top
 
Patrick
Posted: Sunday, August 15, 2010 1:47:27 AM


Rank: Admin
Groups: Admin

Joined: 4/25/2009
Posts: 74
Points: 200
Location: USA

Don,

There are a couple of items that need to be tweaked in the forecast. The forecast can be a few points off. We have a change in the works and it should be live in the next week.

Thanks,
Patrick
Back to top
 
Patrick
Posted: Sunday, August 15, 2010 5:47:15 PM


Rank: Admin
Groups: Admin

Joined: 4/25/2009
Posts: 74
Points: 200
Location: USA

I rolled back the test database to Wednesday and corrected the issue.

To clarify for any readers, this issue was in regards to the advanced signal, one day prior to the actual signal.

WAS - Wed: If the MTR-TM closes at or below 2276.68 (-1.77%) on the next trading day a Market Down signal will be fired.

NOW - Rolled back to Wed: If the MTR-TM closes at or below 2336.45 .81% on the next trading day a Market Down signal will be fired.

The actual Market Down Signal was then fired at the close of 2305.94

The image below is from the test server

In the case above the market could have closed up .81% or less and a down signal would have been fired.  To clarfiy, the market can close up and a down signal can fired, the market can down and a market up signal can be fired.

The updated logic is now live.

Thanks,
Patrick
Back to top
 
Users browsing this topic
Guest

MTR Forums » MTR Forums » Forum Information » Signal Forecasting


Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Home | Contact | Disclaimer | YetAnotherForum